Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Comerica (CMA)

CMA Weekly Chart

Comarica (CMA): Bought Jan 09 Put on the expectations that it will challenge the previous low after breaking its rising flag pattern. Support 20/11. However, the 10% gain in DJI may change this scenario now.

Monday, October 27, 2008

Underestimating the down strength

I always underestimate the strength for a particular move. It's never perfect for me in managing my trades. I'm currently having a light position to the downside. How low will it go before a rebound? I think that this next downside move will not be so strong as compared with the one in early October. The ratings for various sectors remains:
USA Longterm Midterm Shorterm
S&P500 Down Down Down
DJI Down Down Down
Nasdaq Comp Down Down Down
AMEX Natural Gas Down Down Down
AMEX Oil Down Down Down
AMEX Security Broker Down Down Down
KBW Bank Down Down Down
KBW Insurance Down Down Down
PHLX Housing Down Down Down
PHLX Shipping Down Down Down
Sig Steel Down Down Down
S&P Retail Down Down Down
AMEX Biotech Down Down Down
AMEX Airline Down Down Neutral

Sunday, October 19, 2008

Rollercoaster Week

Up and down, up and down. What a week. The market looks like it has stabilized a bit. Most blogs are calling for the bottom and a rebound towards the end of the year. I think that we should have one more leg down before any meaningful rebound will happen. Why? The banks looks more vulnerable now and I think that the next sell down will be led by the banks.

The reading for various US sectors are:
USA Longterm Midterm Shorterm
S&P500 Down Down Down
DJI Down Down Down
Nasdaq Comp Down Down Down
AMEX Natural Gas Down Down Down
AMEX Oil Down Down Down
AMEX Security Broker Down Down Down
KBW Bank Down Down Down
KBW Insurance Down Down Down
PHLX Housing Down Down Down
PHLX Shipping Down Down Down
Sig Steel Down Down Down
S&P Retail Down Down Down
AMEX Biotech Down Down Down
AMEX Airline Down Down Neutral (+)

Friday, October 17, 2008

SunTrust Banks (STI)

STI Weekly Chart

SunTrust Banks (STI): It gave me a sell signal a few days back. Looks like it has broken it's rising flag formation. Bought Jan 09 put.

Tuesday, October 14, 2008

Textron (TXT)

TXT Weekly Chart

Textron (TXT): An oversold bounce play. May have found support in the 15-18 range. Best rebound scenario is to 30.00. Bought Dec 08 Call.

Gold Shares ETF (GLD)

GLD Weekly Chart

Gold Shares ETF (GLD): Looks like the rising triangle has been broken. Is gold breaking down like all other commodities? Bought Jan 09 Put.

Sunday, October 12, 2008

Agrium (AGU)

AGU Weekly Chart

Agrium (AGU): At oversold position. At possible support. Can it rebound? Resistance: 50/60/75. Bought January 09 Call.