Saturday, February 28, 2009
Plum Creek Timber Co. Inc. (PCL)
PCL has broken out from a triangle. Consolidation range should be over. Supports: 24/18/15. Bought 2009 May PUT.
Still Bearish
The US government is doing all it can from saying that the big banks are insolvent. All sectors except biotech is pointing downwards (based on weekly reading):
| USA | Longterm | Midterm | Shorterm |
| S&P500 | Down | Down | Down |
| DJI | Down | Down | Down |
| Nasdaq Comp | Down | Down | Down |
| Russell 2000 | Down | Down | Down |
| AMEX Airline | Down | Down | Down |
| AMEX Biotech | Down | Neutral | Neutral |
| AMEX Natural Gas | Down | Down | Down |
| AMEX Oil | Down | Down | Down |
| AMEX Security Broker | Down | Down | Down |
| KBW Bank | Down | Down | Neutral (+) |
| KBW Insurance | Down | Down | Down |
| PHLX Housing | Down | Down | Down |
| PHLX Semiconductor | Down | Down | Down |
| S&P Retail | Down | Down | Down |
Wednesday, February 25, 2009
Dr Pepper Snapple Group, Inc. (DPS)
DPS has broken out of consolidation pattern and should test 13.50 again. Support: 13.50. Bought 2009 May PUT.
Sunday, February 22, 2009
Exxon Mobil (XOM)
I did not take profit the last time I played XOM's option. As a result, the profit turned into a total loss. I'm entering again, bought 2009 Apr PUT. Support is at 60 (uptrend line).
Nationalization Speculation Week
Everything is pointing down except biotech:
Not many counters left that is high enough to allow me to play the options. I will be looking for some retail counters this weekend. So, when will the US government nationalize Citibank and Bank of America? The speculation sure has beaten the financials. I am wondering how low will they go?
| USA | Longterm | Midterm | Shorterm |
| S&P500 | Down | Down | Down |
| DJI | Down | Down | Down |
| Nasdaq Comp | Down | Down | Down (-) |
| Russell 2000 | Down | Down | Down |
| AMEX Airline | Down | Down | Down |
| AMEX Biotech | Down | Neutral | Neutral (-) |
| AMEX Natural Gas | Down | Down (-) | Down (-) |
| AMEX Oil | Down | Down (-) | Down (-) |
| AMEX Security Broker | Down | Down (-) | Down (-) |
| KBW Bank | Down | Down | Down |
| KBW Insurance | Down | Down | Down |
| PHLX Housing | Down | Down | Down |
| PHLX Semiconductor | Down | Down (-) | Down (-) |
| S&P Retail | Down | Down | Down |
Not many counters left that is high enough to allow me to play the options. I will be looking for some retail counters this weekend. So, when will the US government nationalize Citibank and Bank of America? The speculation sure has beaten the financials. I am wondering how low will they go?
Friday, February 20, 2009
BlackRock, Inc. (BLK)
BLK has given a sell signal, broke down twice from a rising flag formation. It should break the weekly uptrend channel. Support: 95/80. Bought 2009 Apr PUT.
Wednesday, February 18, 2009
The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV)
Anticipating a sell signal from TRV soon. This time it should break the uptrend support line. Supports: 38/30.
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