Saturday, February 28, 2009

Plum Creek Timber Co. Inc. (PCL)

PCL Daily Chart

PCL has broken out from a triangle. Consolidation range should be over. Supports: 24/18/15. Bought 2009 May PUT.

Still Bearish

The US government is doing all it can from saying that the big banks are insolvent. All sectors except biotech is pointing downwards (based on weekly reading):
USA Longterm Midterm Shorterm
S&P500 Down Down Down
DJI Down Down Down
Nasdaq Comp Down Down Down
Russell 2000 Down Down Down
AMEX Airline Down Down Down
AMEX Biotech Down Neutral Neutral
AMEX Natural Gas Down Down Down
AMEX Oil Down Down Down
AMEX Security Broker Down Down Down
KBW Bank Down Down Neutral (+)
KBW Insurance Down Down Down
PHLX Housing Down Down Down
PHLX Semiconductor Down Down Down
S&P Retail Down Down Down

Wednesday, February 25, 2009

Dr Pepper Snapple Group, Inc. (DPS)

DPS Daily Chart

DPS has broken out of consolidation pattern and should test 13.50 again. Support: 13.50. Bought 2009 May PUT.

Sunday, February 22, 2009

Exxon Mobil (XOM)

XOM Weekly Chart

I did not take profit the last time I played XOM's option. As a result, the profit turned into a total loss. I'm entering again, bought 2009 Apr PUT. Support is at 60 (uptrend line).

Nationalization Speculation Week

Everything is pointing down except biotech:
USA Longterm Midterm Shorterm
S&P500 Down Down Down
DJI Down Down Down
Nasdaq Comp Down Down Down (-)
Russell 2000 Down Down Down
AMEX Airline Down Down Down
AMEX Biotech Down Neutral Neutral (-)
AMEX Natural Gas Down Down (-) Down (-)
AMEX Oil Down Down (-) Down (-)
AMEX Security Broker Down Down (-) Down (-)
KBW Bank Down Down Down
KBW Insurance Down Down Down
PHLX Housing Down Down Down
PHLX Semiconductor Down Down (-) Down (-)
S&P Retail Down Down Down

Not many counters left that is high enough to allow me to play the options. I will be looking for some retail counters this weekend. So, when will the US government nationalize Citibank and Bank of America? The speculation sure has beaten the financials. I am wondering how low will they go?

Friday, February 20, 2009

BlackRock, Inc. (BLK)

BLK Weekly Chart

BLK has given a sell signal, broke down twice from a rising flag formation. It should break the weekly uptrend channel. Support: 95/80. Bought 2009 Apr PUT.

Wednesday, February 18, 2009

The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV)

TRV Weekly Chart

Anticipating a sell signal from TRV soon. This time it should break the uptrend support line. Supports: 38/30.