Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Wells Fargo (WFC)

WFC Weekly Chart

WFC has broken a triangle. To challenge uptrend line at 22 again. Supports: 22/19/13. Bought April 2009 put.

Saturday, January 10, 2009

Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO)

FLO Weekly Chart


FLO Daily Chart

FLO has broken from a rising flag (from daily chart). Long term uptrend also broken (from weekly chart). Supports 20/17. Bought Apr put.

Comerica (CMA)

CMA Daily Chart

CMA has broken down from a triangle. Support at 15/11. Bought Apr put.

Santa Claus Rally Over?

Looks like the Santa Claus rally may be over. The banks has turned down again:
USA Longterm Midterm Shorterm
S&P500 Down Neutral Neutral
DJI Down Neutral Neutral
Nasdaq Comp Down Neutral Neutral
Russell 2000 Down Neutral Neutral
AMEX Natural Gas Down Neutral (+) Neutral
AMEX Oil Down Neutral Up
AMEX Security Broker Down Down Neutral
KBW Bank Down Down Down (-)
KBW Insurance Down Neutral Neutral (-)
PHLX Housing Down Neutral Up
PHLX Shipping Down Neutral Up (+)
S&P Retail Down Neutral Up
AMEX Biotech Down Neutral Neutral (-)
AMEX Airline Down Neutral Up

For sectors that are labeled neutral, looks like they are turning weak again. Not confirm yet that they will rush to the downside.

Friday, January 9, 2009

December 08 Performance

Not a good month for me. My hot streak has cooled down and may take a turn for the worse next month. Positions that has been closed in the month of Dec 08 are:
  • CB 09 Jan Put (-): Cut loss.
  • ACE 09 Jan Put (+): Got out of the position to protect capital. Barely break even.
  • DSX 08 Dec Call (---): Expires worthless.
  • TXT 08 Dec Call (---): Expires worthless.
So, my rebound play with calls didn't work at all due to bad timing. I think I will stick to playing the weekly trend direction.

JP Morgan (JPM)

First trade of the year. Still looking out for a strong trend. Without strong trend, the options have a higher probability of expiring without making any significant movement.

JPM Weekly Chart

JP Morgan (JPM): Bought Mar 09 put. It may be moving to challenge the previous low. It has broken a smaller rising flag a month ago. Support 20/16.

Monday, January 5, 2009

Hit Left and Right

I'm hit right and left for being bearish. Will wait until clearer signals emerges.
USA Longterm Midterm Shorterm
S&P500 Down Neutral (+) Neutral (+)
DJI Down Neutral (+) Neutral (+)
Nasdaq Comp Down Neutral (+) Neutral
Russell 2000 Down Neutral (+) Neutral
AMEX Natural Gas Down Down Neutral (+)
AMEX Oil Down Neutral (+) Up (+)
AMEX Security Broker Down Down Neutral (+)
KBW Bank Down Down Neutral (+)
KBW Insurance Down Neutral Up (+)
PHLX Housing Down Neutral Up (+)
PHLX Shipping Down Neutral (+) Neutral (+)
S&P Retail Down Neutral Up (+)
AMEX Biotech Down Neutral (+) Up (+)
AMEX Airline Down Neutral Up