Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Wells Fargo (WFC)
WFC has broken a triangle. To challenge uptrend line at 22 again. Supports: 22/19/13. Bought April 2009 put.
Saturday, January 10, 2009
Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO)
FLO has broken from a rising flag (from daily chart). Long term uptrend also broken (from weekly chart). Supports 20/17. Bought Apr put.
Santa Claus Rally Over?
Looks like the Santa Claus rally may be over. The banks has turned down again:
For sectors that are labeled neutral, looks like they are turning weak again. Not confirm yet that they will rush to the downside.
| USA | Longterm | Midterm | Shorterm |
| S&P500 | Down | Neutral | Neutral |
| DJI | Down | Neutral | Neutral |
| Nasdaq Comp | Down | Neutral | Neutral |
| Russell 2000 | Down | Neutral | Neutral |
| AMEX Natural Gas | Down | Neutral (+) | Neutral |
| AMEX Oil | Down | Neutral | Up |
| AMEX Security Broker | Down | Down | Neutral |
| KBW Bank | Down | Down | Down (-) |
| KBW Insurance | Down | Neutral | Neutral (-) |
| PHLX Housing | Down | Neutral | Up |
| PHLX Shipping | Down | Neutral | Up (+) |
| S&P Retail | Down | Neutral | Up |
| AMEX Biotech | Down | Neutral | Neutral (-) |
| AMEX Airline | Down | Neutral | Up |
For sectors that are labeled neutral, looks like they are turning weak again. Not confirm yet that they will rush to the downside.
Friday, January 9, 2009
December 08 Performance
Not a good month for me. My hot streak has cooled down and may take a turn for the worse next month. Positions that has been closed in the month of Dec 08 are:
- CB 09 Jan Put (-): Cut loss.
- ACE 09 Jan Put (+): Got out of the position to protect capital. Barely break even.
- DSX 08 Dec Call (---): Expires worthless.
- TXT 08 Dec Call (---): Expires worthless.
JP Morgan (JPM)
First trade of the year. Still looking out for a strong trend. Without strong trend, the options have a higher probability of expiring without making any significant movement.
JP Morgan (JPM): Bought Mar 09 put. It may be moving to challenge the previous low. It has broken a smaller rising flag a month ago. Support 20/16.
JP Morgan (JPM): Bought Mar 09 put. It may be moving to challenge the previous low. It has broken a smaller rising flag a month ago. Support 20/16.
Monday, January 5, 2009
Hit Left and Right
I'm hit right and left for being bearish. Will wait until clearer signals emerges.
| USA | Longterm | Midterm | Shorterm |
| S&P500 | Down | Neutral (+) | Neutral (+) |
| DJI | Down | Neutral (+) | Neutral (+) |
| Nasdaq Comp | Down | Neutral (+) | Neutral |
| Russell 2000 | Down | Neutral (+) | Neutral |
| AMEX Natural Gas | Down | Down | Neutral (+) |
| AMEX Oil | Down | Neutral (+) | Up (+) |
| AMEX Security Broker | Down | Down | Neutral (+) |
| KBW Bank | Down | Down | Neutral (+) |
| KBW Insurance | Down | Neutral | Up (+) |
| PHLX Housing | Down | Neutral | Up (+) |
| PHLX Shipping | Down | Neutral (+) | Neutral (+) |
| S&P Retail | Down | Neutral | Up (+) |
| AMEX Biotech | Down | Neutral (+) | Up (+) |
| AMEX Airline | Down | Neutral | Up |
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